Currently, only 59.5% of applications are processed within service standards, well below IRCC’s 80% target. Contributing factors include increased application volumes, complex cases requiring additional review, resource constraints, and systemic bottlenecks. Applications exceeding service standards are classified as “backlogged” and require additional processing time.

Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) applications have the most severe backlog at 49%, with nearly half of all applications overdue. Work permits follow at 46%, while permanent residence applications overall show a 49.7% backlog rate. Express Entry performs relatively better but still has a 21% backlog rate.

Recommended actions: 1) Extend your processing time expectations by 50%; 2) Ensure your current status won’t expire – apply for extensions if necessary; 3) Submit complete, accurate documentation to avoid additional delays; 4) Consider bridging work permits to maintain legal status; 5) Monitor your application status regularly through official IRCC channels.

IRCC is implementing several strategies: deploying AI and automation tools for faster processing, reallocating human resources to high-backlog areas, optimizing application procedures, and expanding digital platforms. However, these measures require time to show results, and short-term backlog persistence is likely.

Based on historical patterns, backlog resolution typically requires 6-12 months. IRCC targets processing 80% of applications within service standards, but currently achieves only 59.5%. Improvement may be seen by late 2025 or early 2026, but continued monitoring of monthly data trends is essential for accurate predictions.