📊 Latest CRS Draw Results Analysis
🎯 Latest Draw Results Overview
Analysis of the January 21, 2026 Express Entry Draw
Total Invitations Decreased
January 7 CEC Draw
Average Draw Frequency
📈 Key Trends Summary
- • CRS Scores Declining: CEC draw scores have declined consecutively in 2026, down 2 points in the latest
- • Invitation Numbers: 2026 average invitations per CEC draw at 7,000
- • Category Draws Advantage: CEC scores 200+ points lower than PNP
- • Processing Time: Express Entry applications average processing time at 5 months
📅 Recent Draw History
| Draw Date | Draw Type | CRS Score | Invitations | Trend Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Canadian Experience Class | 509 | 6,000 | ↓ 2 points |
| 2026-01-20 | Provincial Nominee Program | 746 | 681 | ↑ 35 points |
| 2026-01-07 | Canadian Experience Class | 511 | 8,000 | ↓ 9 points |
| 2026-01-05 | Provincial Nominee Program | 711 | 574 | ↓ 20 points |
| 2025-12-17 | French language proficiency | 399 | 6,000 | ↓ 9 points |
| 2025-12-16 | Canadian Experience Class | 515 | 5,000 | ↓ 5 points |
| 2025-12-15 | Provincial Nominee Program | 731 | 399 | ↑ 255 points |
Data Source: IRCC Official Draw Results | Update Date: 2026-01-24
📈 CRS Score Trends In-Depth Analysis
Annual Trend Analysis
2026 Q1 Trends: CRS scores showing a slight decline in CEC draws, primarily due to:
- Increased invitation numbers (average 7,000 per CEC draw)
- Category-based selection dispersing the pool
- Higher use of provincial nominations
- Increased French proficiency additions
Category Draw Impact
Category draws significantly lower score requirements:
Invitation Numbers Changes
2026 Invitation Targets: Canada plans to invite 117,500 candidates through Express Entry in 2026
📊 Candidate CRS Score Distribution (Estimate)
Based on IRCC data estimates of the current Express Entry candidate pool score distribution
📌 Current Draw Score Range
509: In the top 9% of the pool
Means: Approximately 91% of candidates have scores below the current draw score
🎯 Target Score Recommendations
Safe Score: 520+ (likely invitation in next draw)
Competitive Score: 500-520 (possible invitation, depending on draw size)
🔍 Category Draw Detailed Analysis
CEC Category
Latest CRS Score (Jan 21)
Includes: Candidates with Canadian experience
Healthcare Category
Latest CRS Score (Dec 11, 2025)
Includes: Doctors, nurses, medical technicians
PNP Category
Latest CRS Score (Jan 20)
Includes: Provincial nominees
French Category
Latest CRS Score (Dec 17, 2025)
French proficiency CLB 7+
🎯 CRS Score Calculator
Adjust your estimated score to see invitation likelihood
📊 Your Invitation Likelihood Analysis
Based on current score 509 points:
- ✓ Equal to the latest draw score (509)
- ✓ High probability of invitation in next CEC draw
- ✓ Consider PNP for additional 600 points
🔮 Future Draw Predictions
Quarterly Forecast
- Average CRS score: 500-520
- Total invitations: 25,000+
- Category draw frequency increased to 1-2 per week
- PNP usage rate increased to 30%
⚠️ Prediction Notes
The above predictions are based on historical data, seasonal patterns, and current policy trends. Actual draw results may vary due to:
- Pool size and score distribution changes
- IRCC policy adjustments
- Provincial nomination quota changes
- International events impact
❓ CRS Draw Frequently Asked Questions
The Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score is calculated based on the following factors:
- Core Human Capital Factors (up to 500 points): Age, education level, language proficiency, Canadian work experience
- Spouse Factors (up to 40 points): Spouse’s education, language proficiency, and Canadian work experience
- Skill Transferability (up to 100 points): Combinations of education, work experience, and language proficiency
- Additional Points (up to 600 points): Provincial nomination, Canadian job offer, Canadian study experience, etc.
Main reasons for CRS score decreases:
- Increased Invitation Numbers: 2026 immigration targets higher, larger draw sizes
- Category-Based Draws: Specific categories divert high-scoring candidates
- Seasonal Factors: Early year typically has lower scores
- Pool Changes: More candidates receiving additional points from provincial nominations
Most effective ways to boost CRS score:
- Improve Language Scores: CLB 9+ for higher points
- Gain Canadian Work Experience: 1 year adds points
- Apply for Provincial Nomination: Successful PNP adds 600 points
- Obtain Canadian Education: Canadian credentials add points
- Secure Job Offer: LMIA-supported offer adds 50-200 points
- Learn French: French proficiency adds extra points
Category draws provide advantages for specific occupations:
- STEM Professionals: Score requirements 20-35 points lower than general draws
- Healthcare Workers: Score requirements 7-25 points lower than general draws
- Trades Workers: Score requirements 30-45 points lower than general draws
- French Speakers: French proficiency CLB 7+ has dedicated draws
If your occupation fits these categories, your chances of invitation increase significantly.
Best submission timing recommendations:
- Submit Immediately: If you meet basic requirements and CRS score is 450+
- Prepare and Submit: If score is lower, improve language or gain experience first
- Strategic Submission: Monitor category draw occupation requirements, submit before if eligible
Profiles are valid in the pool for 12 months; enter early to maximize draw opportunities.
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